Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Installation Market Forecast 2012 - 2018
- Written by Wayne Collins
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Solar PV technologies estimated and forecasted in this study comprise of thin film PV, crystalline silicon PV and Others (organic solar PV, CPV etc.). Abundant supply of sunlight/ solar energy, growing demand for electricity, well-matched alternative with adequate output efficiency, lower than expected solar PV system prices, strong government support in the form of incentive schemes, favorable regulatory scenario and growing application scope are expected to drive solar PV systems demand over the next five years.
The wet climate across different geographic regions leading to deterioration of solar panels, limited life of batteries utilized in off-grid solar PV systems, slashed feed-in tariff rates, irregular solar intensities, and oversupply conditions are collectively expected to restrain the market growth of solar PV systems.
The residential end use sector is expected to be one of the rapidly growing markets and accounted for 30.22% of the overall demand in 2011. Increasing applications in utility-scale enabled this sector to dominate the solar PV market in 2011, accounting for 43.07% of market share. The residential sector is expected to attain 33.36% market share by 2018.
Key products analyzed and estimated in this study include thin film PV, crystalline silicon PV (c-Si PV) and Other types (organic solar PV, Concentrated PV etc.) of solar PV's. The study also covers grid-connected and off-grid PV systems. Grid-connected solar PV's dominated the grid type market, accounting for 98.03% of the overall installed capacity in 2011. Crystalline silicon solar PV has captured majority of the market and accounted for 80.81% of the overall installed capacity in 2011. Thin film PV market follows the c-Si PV market and is expected to grow with a CAGR of 18.0% from 2012 to 2018.
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In terms of volume, EMEA dominated the global market accounting for over 75.7% of the overall annually installed capacity in 2011. Europe is followed by Asia Pacific in terms of solar PV installations due to high demand in emerging economies, especially China and India. Annual installations of solar PV are expected to increase in Asia Pacific due to increasing solar PV application scope, particularly in utility-scale, commercial and residential sectors. The current paradigm shift in the solar PV market is expected to change the scenario by 2018 with the Asia Pacific solar PV market volume expected to grow at a CAGR 16.99% from 2012 to 2018 owing to strong government support and lower prices.
The study also provides extensive geographical analysis of the solar PV market, wherein the demand for various applications and end user industries as well as key regions has been forecasted for North America, EMEA, Asia Pacific and Rest of the World. In addition, a detailed analysis of the cause and effect of these applications in a particular region is also provided.
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Key market participants profiled in this report include Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd., First Solar Inc, Canadian Solar Inc, Yingli Green Energy Holdings Co. Ltd., Trina Solar Ltd., Bosch Solar Energy AG and others.
This research analyzes and estimates the performance and installed capacity of solar PV systems in the global scenario, providing detailed trend analysis of the market by geography and technology and comprehensive analysis of companies dealing in solar PV. The report presents a thorough assessment of the strategies followed by different stakeholders by segmenting the solar PV installation market as below:
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Global solar PV Installation market, by grid type
Grid-connected solar PV
Off-grid solar PV
Global solar PV Installation market, by technology
Thin film PV
Crystalline silicon PV
Others (organic solar PV, CPV etc.)
Global solar PV Installation market, by end use
Residential
Commercial
Utility-scale
Global solar PV Installation market, by geography
North America
EMEA
Asia-Pacific
Rest of the World (RoW)
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